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House price drops \” land finance \” be thwarted the end of the year is faced with transition final examination

In new network on December 13 report (Hu Kelu of house property channel) the near future, “ of big house look forward to abandons the message that buys ” , land to shed sell one\’s own things of mark, low and break down sell one\’s own things to be transmitted ceaselessly, of land market encounter cold the land finance that also froze each local government, local finance because this have too many problems to deal with. Data shows, this year income of sell one\’s own things of many cities land under last year level of the corresponding period, local government whether bear the test that house price drops considerably? Land finance transition becomes the problem that local official must face already. Land market enters “ icebound ” period finance income acute decreases the Ministry of finance to was announced a few days ago " the share is common in November 2011 circumstance of finance income and expenses " show, november, countrywide finance income six hundred and forty-five billion seven hundred and thirty-two million yuan, amplitude continued the posture of fall after a rise since September, than going up lunar amplitude reduces 6.3 percent, and estate trades the main factor that the volume drops is amplitude of influence finance income. According to \” Chinese negotiable securities signs up for \” the data of real estate of cite Central Plains shows, before 11 months, gold of sell one\’s own things of total land of market of land of 130 main cities of countrywide is 1.18 trillion, with photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year decreased 520 billion, decreased 30% . If calculate all countrywide cities, criterion land finance reduces the likelihood this year on -727379968. Local debt studies Yang Zhenghu of director of research center of contemporary economy of expert, Guangdong points out, today bright the countervail debt fastigium that just is local government two years, acute of income of land sell one\’s own things decreased local government to bring tremendous difficulty. Year old the height that end should be land sell one\’s own things originally, the market appears however this year all the more cold and cheerless. In November, the whole nation is main the land sell one\’s own things of 35 heat city is immersed in trough, plot drifting mark achieved 117, annulus rose than 22 of October 432% . The personage inside course of study thinks, land market is encountered cold, it is suffocate suffocate of bridal chamber sale, inventory is swelled greatly, already the land of sell one\’s own things again and again defer start working; 2 it is policy anticipates still tighten up, pressure of development business capital is great. “ of policy rich play chess is restricted to buy ” and “ to add receive ” kink to be restricted to buy control building city demand, and building city be issued to lower levels, the land finance that makes local government depend on is progressively disintegrate. This is a chain-reacting, also be near future local government explores the ultimate power that puts extend a time limit to buy. From the point of the finance income of city of partial focal point, be restricted to buy had made income of local government finance considerably cut down. Local government also has the desire of policy of estate of untie a person, with local rich play chess is in in the center of aggravate. Be restricted to buy policy to carry out nearly one year, be about to expire. Up to now, and other places of only big talk, Guangzhou, Shenzhen makes known his position clearly to will continue to be restricted to buy policy, and other 40 many carry out be restricted to buy made city to respond to all amphibolous. Han Changji of researcher of advisory real-estate industry is cast to think in, macroscopical economic policy won\’t have a change inside 3 months at least, local government is in short-term inside the possibility that violates central policy spirit is lesser. The grim situation of market of next year land may be farther aggravate. No matter be academia or government sector, industry, think to be restricted to buy the requirement that makes remove, opportunity to still be not had at present. Be restricted to buy policy to regard a kind of provisionality as act, although look very simple, but its effect is the most effective. Look in many experts, from the point of current condition, to building city untie a person can draw the afflux of the capital that fry a room only, building city appears likely revengeful sex rebounds, come so, two years of much adjusting control will be probable all one\’s previous efforts wasted. The personage inside course of study predicts, next year the possibility the possibility imposes estate tax cities of more line of just a little, wait for estate to duty is rolled out in the round and produce effect when, also be to be restricted to buy make exit the market when. Land finance is faced with the ” of “ stalling tactics that policy of untie a person of transition final examination is local government only, take temporary solution not effect a permanent cure, face close the end of the year, the land finance of local government still is faced with transition final examination. The personage inside course of study expresses, sell the ground to change money to still put a quantity finally to appear subbranch of a bank to be, land finance mode is not long plan. As economic transition finish, the arrival of times of ” of finance of the land after “ , transition of finance of local government land already was the problem of a need discussion not just, the problem that how fulfils however. The comment thinks, chinese estate adjusting control must change land finance infirmly ceaselessly. Otherwise, the ultimate goal of estate adjusting control comes true hard. Deformation of Chinese real estate develops, place too count land finance, the health that affected Chinese economy severely as a result develops, as local government completely responsible give correct, namely local government behoove changes land finance actively infirmly, make estate benign development, and be not continue along support land financial old way goes downward. Han Changji of researcher of advisory real-estate industry is cast to express in, the low cost of income of gold of land sell one\’s own things is efficient, it is to bring about local government to depend on land financial prime cause. Finance income of the government is restricted by land, create void of price of real estate easily problem of congruent of uneasiness of scale of structure of income of tall, government, be equal at binding governmental finance safety and real-estate industry, dispute the signal of constant danger. From at present the situation looks, local government casts off land finance extremely urgent. He still expresses, local proper motion issues debt to be able to alleviate finance pressure of place. Times of ” of finance of the land after “ should send behavior with local debt main measure, complementary support with central finance, expand indefinitely of the problem to avoid local liability additionally, grade may have to local debt level in the center of, with this specific aim ground solves local financing problem. A few days ago, liao Xiaojun of undersecretary of Ministry of finance discloses, countrywide finance income can overfulfil a budget this year, central finance and local finance meet those who have fixed number to exceed close. Inside course of study the personage looks, this can regard local government to execute the transition of wealth tax system, chance that walks out of ” of “ land finance. If not “ is short of money ” , the motivation that local government casts off ” of “ land finance may more sufficient. (Medium channel of new network house property) relevant report:Before China income of 130 cities land reduced 520 billion Ministry of finance in November: Difficulty of land income growth and local finance concerns without correspondence

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